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Newcastle Preview: Win. Just Win.

As long as it is the Lindisfarne version. I am not doing a cover of Gazza's...

As long as it is the Lindisfarne version. I am not doing a cover of Gazza’s…

The points on the Tyne are all mine, all mine
The points on the Tyne are all mine

I am not sure that Arsène’s version of the Lindisfarne, ahem, classic, is going to be that big a seller in the North East but if turns out to the perfect summation of the result, who cares whether the barcodes ring out in the local record stores. Three points is all that matters to Arsenal this afternoon.

A whole Premier League season of effort comes down to ninety minutes. OK, so a particular combination of results may give us another match afterwards but that’s by-the-by. This is the one that can put us in the position of having to worry about another match in the first place.

The popular theory is that Newcastle United have nothing to play for, that Arsenal have the ambition and the greater desire. Too many people took Alan Pardew’s words literally and expect them to stand aside as their visitors rampage into the Champions League places. Malcolm MacDonald nailed the theory in his preview for The Chronicle; I expect them to want to give the bloody nose to Arsenal, to damage their aspirations and to end the season with some pride, in what has after all, been a dismal campaign for them.

Tony Adams observed that recent results at home to Sunderland and Liverpool are likely to see Newcastle play defensively. That will be on top of Pardew’s usual philosophy of stifling Arsenal, of packing the midfield to ensure that a blanket is thrown over the game with the long ball to his forwards the only outlet as a result. Of course, he has to cut his cloth accordingly but it is an utterly negative mentality that has no long-term growth for the club he is managing. Mike Ashley has cut to the chase this weekend and found the route to a Newcastle victory with a reported £1m pot going to his non-playing staff in that eventuality. His players are not just turning out for their own bonuses now.

Seven wins and two draws in their last nine games ought to give Arsenal plenty of confidence, especially since in that spell all away games have resulted in wins. Some tension comes from lacklustre performances but to repeat the point ad nauseam, results are all that matter in the final stretch of the season. It does not matter if the winning goal rebounds into the net off the referee’s backside, as long as it gives three points to Arsenal, who cares? We fleetingly remember the strain of watching a match but more often than not, those memories fade until a scoreline is left. And when the result will decide a particular fate, then this overrides any flamboyant desires.

The key injury concern for Arsenal is Mikel Arteta, the Spaniard as the fulcrum of the midfield trio has been quietly crucial to the recent good results. A fitness test this morning will reveal whether he can take part or most likely, to what extent. Whilst Wenger has the a couple of choices: Coquelin, a more defensive option but underused this season, or Vermaelen, who would solve the captaincy issue as well. It seems most likely that Jack Wilshere will be selected. In itself, that seems logical with the youngster intuitive enough to fill the role defensively and prompting others. However, with his ankle requiring surgery and Wenger’s own admission that they are nursing him through the final stages of the season, is it a sensible option? Can Wilshere last the whole match and if not, should he be kept on the bench with Vermaelen chosen instead? Wilshere can, if required, replace any of the midfielders from the bench.

With Olivier Giroud returning from suspension, the central striking role is the only other headache and it has to be a straight choice between the Frenchman and Lukas Podolski. The balance of the side is right at the moment with Santi Cazorla on the wing and in a match of this importance, it is important to keep changes to the absolute minimum. Despite scoring twice on Tuesday, most likely Wenger will go for Giroud, at least at the start.

The line-up I expect is:

Szczesny; Sagna, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Gibbs; Rosicky, Arteta (Wilshere), Ramsey; Walcott, Giroud, Cazorla

We have been in this position before, a last day showdown to decide the season. A comfortable home win relying on the failings of others or masters of our own destiny with a tricky away match. The players, for the most part, know this situation, know what to do.

Enjoy the match wherever you are watching it.

’til Tomorrow.

 

 
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The Final Countdown Begins

twn

The final weekend of the Premier League season is upon us, the drama stretched for another 36 hours to suit the Sunday television schedule. Confidence going into the match is probably at its highest. A decent spell of results, if not always performances, has bred optimism in the fans. It has been an almost reverse to what you would have expected; nervousness before Wigan, bullishness now. It is curious that the last game of the season was viewed more positively than the last home game.

Twice – 1993/94 and 1999/2000 – Arsenal have played at St James Park on the last day of the season, both have ended in defeat, 0 – 2 and 2 – 4 respectively. Neither game had anything riding on them. Arsenal could not finish any higher than 4th or 2nd in either case, nor could they finish any lower. History in this case, is bunk.

It has been a rare occurrence that the final day result has actually meant anything. On the quartet of occasions in his reign when results have mattered, Arsène has been able to motivate the team to produce the right outcome; a win. Confidence can be borne of that experience, as can complacency but this time, it feels a little different. Defeat on Tyneside – when it matters – would have a negative impact on the players going into next season. Having worked hard to be masters of their own destiny, it would be a fairly bruising blow to make a pig’s ear of it and put themselves into the Europa League next year. That is key for tomorrow, their own vested interest. It is more than just finishing as high as you can; each utterance about European football is always in the context of the Champions League, as Arsène himself noted,

What is at stake is a desire to stay at the top. To play top-level European football. There is a difference between the Champions League and Europa League. The Champions League features the best teams. That’s what we want to do. The financial consequences are big but that is not the most important thing for me.

If they fail to qualify for the Champions League, you can bet that the Arsenal players will be looking forward to the challenge of the Europa League and of what difficult sides, what good teams, lie in wait.

Wenger believes the players are in the right frame of mind to produce the win, you would not expect anything less in that sense. Theo Walcott suggested earlier this week that there was an iron fist inside the velvet glove during the half-time break against Wigan. Whatever the rocket delivered, it had the desired effect. Once they had settled into their rhythm, the visitors could not cope with Arsenal’s attack. That response was one of the better performances in a while. At this stage of the season, arguably the performance is nowhere near as important as the result.

For years, a common complaint has been that Arsenal could not grind out results, play badly and win. The minute that they do, the performance suddenly becomes more important. Of course performances matter to some degree. To turn up every week and be shambolic is not likely to produce any sort of consistency in results over weeks or months. It is often overlooked that the current Premier League run is one defeat in fifteen games. Not every performance can obliterated opponents, in the same way that not every result was scraped out; the balance was somewhere in the middle.

The metaphorical handbrake has been applied on several occasions, particularly away from home. It has seemed as if there was a strong desire not to lose, not to concede, has been the overriding philosophy on entering the pitch. Take the sting out of your opponents by not conceding early. Eleven goals in fifteen games is impressive enough but does not shout about the seven clean sheets. When you don’t concede, winning is made a bit easier. The attack does suffer but by comparison, not that much. Last season saw 74 Premier League goals scored, with one game to go, 71 this time around. Goals are shared amongst the team more readily, the over-reliance on one player eschewed. Of course, the season is not linear, individual results can skew goal difference in either direction. Like all headline statistics, they reflect glory and mask problems all in one go.

What they have done is begin to create a feeling of, invincibility is too strong a word, but certainly of resilience, to use Arsène’s favoured descriptor.

Winning tomorrow is all that matters, anything else relies on Tottenham capitulating as in previous seasons. I do not hold out any hope of that, di Canio’s fighting words are as empty as Pardew’s flippancy. Sunderland will go to White Hart Lane hoping to win but concede a goal? They will collapse in the same way that teams have done so to Arsenal on previous occasions. No reliance can be placed upon the failings of others. It will be their own work by which Arsenal stand or fall.

’til Tomorrow.

 
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Who Will Replace Arteta; Cazorla Under-rated & More

Hey you, yes, you, that's C-A-Z-O-R-L-A. Vote Cazorla

Hey you, yes, you, you’ll vote for me won’t you! That’s C-A-Z-O-R-L-A. One more than Bale will get, thank you

Ahead of the visit to St James Park – am I the only one who has “Gonna Fly Now” in their heads when they think of it – Arsène has revealed that his underrated captain, Mikel Arteta, will most likely be missing. He is though, a man with a plan; well, several in fact, with the combinations offered in his pre-match assessment. Jack Wilshere might be the most obvious solution but Wenger has also mentioned Coquelin with Abou Diaby elbowing Lazarus out of the way to take the lead in the race of the greatest comebacks. An outside bet would be Thomas Vermaelen adorning his kit with a red codpiece following his brief cameo in the role on Tuesday.

Wilshere has not been at his fluent best since returning from injury, which is understandable given the length of time of his absence initially, and the subsequent niggling problems. Ordinarily, to play him might be considered a risk but this a match where the winner has their Abba moment, and takes it all. Coquelin seems an unlikely replacement, under-used this season for someone who was – maybe still is – highly rated by his manager. Perhaps this is the news where the nerves reveal themselves; there is a confidence of winning by The Tyne which was bizarrely absent leading up to the visit of Wigan. Will that diminish?

That the absence of Arteta is a cause for consternation is a testament to how well he has played. His contribution is often overlooked, sometimes diminished as people look for the killer pass to come from deep or the influential play comparable to Cesc in his Arsenal prime, driving the side forward. Arteta is a different player, successfully fulfilling a different role. The back four are getting rightly praised for the tightness which has emerged since defeat in the North London derby but they have received better protection from the midfield, with Ramsey and Arteta combining resourcefully to provide a barrier. This has been more noticeable away from home and in the first half against United before the madness struck.

Santi Cazorla will probably win the Player of the Year award at the end of the season but Arteta should also be among the frontrunners, surely? That recognition is deserved in both cases and for Arsène it was inexplicable that the former was not recognised at the PFA Awards recently. Whilst he is appreciated internally, wider appreciation was not forthcoming with Cazorla omitted from the Team of the Year. Wenger observed,

I think he is a bit of an underrated player in the Premier League. When you think he was not in the [PFA] team of the season picked by the players, it’s quite harsh. Personally I would have put him in there.

When you look at his quality, that is of course outstanding, but also his attitude and workrate for the team. He’s one of the players who has been absolutely outstanding this season.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive first season, creating and scoring at a level which was probably more effective than most expected on a consistent basis. That is not to say he suffered low expectations, just acknowledging that Cazorla settled into the club a lot quicker than some of his compatriots have previously.

This season’s awards highlighted a difference, the perception of the players outside of the club. It is only the third time in Wenger’s reign that no Arsenal player has been included in the Team of the Year for the Premier League. Contentious as such awards are, they are voted for by the players themselves. Having said that, anyone who thinks Eden Hazard has been more consistent than Cazorla probably has only watched the players on Match of the Day. In view of the turbulence of previous Summer’s, perhaps a time where the players go relatively unnoticed elsewhere is appreciated.

Letting others takeover is welcome in that respect, dig out their old Bananarama records. With the number of high-profile coaches changing this Summer, there will be speculation about transfers at Chelsea and both Mancunian clubs before horizons are spread to foreign lands. Wenger himself has noted Chelsea may be particularly active but Arsenal will be his primary focus. The Rooneyometer has swung towards no signing, someone in the media finally twigging that wages might be a big problem. Arsène is adamant that he will not be ending his tenure this time around although noticeably his attitude to media speculation has changed on his Eurosport blog. Now the attention given to his future does not tire him, as opposed to his irascibility not so long ago.

’til Tomorrow.

 
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Living Hell Or Sweet Smell Of Success?

fair

Attention turns towards Sunday and whether or not the circumstances will prevail to afford the Premier League the opportunity to put their 39th game into practice. It seems unlikely but then who would have thought that a player would suffer ridicule for wearing a full kit under a suit to celebrate a victory in a European final in which he played no part and then repeat the feat twelve months later? OK, most people probably assumed John Terry would do it and a hundred pub quiz organisers now have a question for future years.

Chelsea’s triumph raises uncomfortable questions for some. Their success makes them the first English side to win all the European trophies – Champions League, Cup Winners Cup, Europa League (UEFA Cup) and Super Cup – and begs the question: Champions League failure or Europa League success?

Thursday night football is ridiculed the length and breadth of the land, mainly when mentioned in sentences containing Tottenham. The reality is that a sizable number of people would rather no European football at all than take part in the Europa League. No-one ever comes up with a real reason why. Some will cite the financial impact of not being in the Champions League but Europa League revenues will mitigate that loss to a small degree; something is better than nothing. Most of the arguments centre on claims that failure to qualify for the premier tournament will mean this, that or the other not happening rather than the Europa League itself; it is, it seems, a convenient scapegoat.

Chelsea’s triumph last night is today being ridiculed, elimination from the Champions League should not be rewarded with the Europa League. The basis of that argument is flawed; Arsenal have taken that route before, the fundamental difference being that we lost the 2000 UEFA Cup Final to Galatasaray. It is a flimsy argument which does not stand scrutiny.

The real tragedy of this is the low esteem in which the junior competition is held. The UEFA Cup was highly thought of, frequently cited as the most difficult of the three to win. The Cup Winners Cup? Well, that was almost the same as the Europa League in this respect but nonetheless, it still counted for something. The cash cow of the Champions League expansion eroded the UEFA Cup’s shine and instead of a fatted calf, the Europa League has become the black sheep. Its path is similar to the Football League Cup. It is still a competition but is routinely dismissed, only acceptable when defeat is a reason for complaint. If losing hurts that badly, something must be worth winning?

For most, the Europa League is better than nothing. Empty weeks whilst others enjoy their time on foreign fields would soon bring home the reality. Missing out entirely would be a terrible feeling. You might not agree with that now but just pray that scenario never comes true. Those of us who are old enough to remember the ban on English clubs in Europe will remind you at some point of the English Super Cup and other misguided ideas that the footballing authorities had to fill the gaps. Then we were fortunate to some degree; there was not wall-to-wall television coverage of the game. Miss out now and every European matchday would be a stake driven through your footballing soul.

A fair point was made in terms of the sides the manager would field. If his view is the Europa League is an irritant, we will see a League Cup approach, something which would be fundamentally wrong. That said, if he strengthens the squad as most hope in the Summer, there is every reason to believe that the second string will be reasonably strong. Good enough to win the home games. That complacency on this writer’s part should not be replicated on the pitch though.

Winning at St James Park would render this irrelevant. It is strange to read that people were more nervous and concerned about Tuesday night than Sunday. For me, irrespective of their win over Manchester City, Arsenal had enough quality to deal with Wigan at home, especially with the game coming relatively quickly after Wembley.

Uefa’s fining of the FA worked in Arsenal’s favour, showing how money-orientated the game is. It also underlined the imbalance in priorities that scheduling a Premier League fixture on a Champions League night cost the FA £1m. It puts their disciplinary efforts over racism into perspective, the fines which routinely struggle to get into five figures are deemed sufficient but upsetting a broadcaster which has a limited market anyway? Obviously that is more important…

Failure to beat either of the Merseyside teams at home in recent months, coupled with Tottenham’s surprising show of character, has led to Sunday being a winner takes all fixture. A quirk of fate leaves the fans of opposing North London teams supporting the efforts of rival Tyne & Wear clubs. Not that I have any high hopes of Sunderland doing anything other than rolling over and having their tummies tickled. At least Arsenal know that their own efforts will this time see them through to shining light of the Champions League. Or into the eighth circle of footballing Hell for some: Thursday Night Football.

’til Tomorrow.

 
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Yogis_Warrior - This morning on ACLF: Vermaelen: The Whole Point Of A Squad http://t.co/b6I3NHFMV5 10 hours ago
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